Publications

The latest research and analysis from the Berkeley Risk & Security Lab

Featured Publications

New Tools Are Needed to Address the Risks Posed by AI-Military Integration

An exploration of confidence-building measures for military AI, and how these are complicated by divergent interpretations of risk and the complex roles of worldwide partners.

Dr. Sarah Shoker, Prof. Andrew W. Reddie, Alan Hickey, Leah Walker

Commentary Lawfare March 18, 2024

Quantification of Hypersonic Missile Capabilities Using the Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Simulator: A User Manual

This is a user guide for the Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Simulator.

Dr. Cameron Tracy, Dr. David Wright, Justin Ly, Anita Ding

User Manual BRSL March 10, 2026

All Publications

Two New Quantum Executive Orders and the BRSL Quantum Security Initiative

Analysis of two recently released White House executive orders focused on quantum technology.

Dr. Lindsay Rand

Brisk Assessment Brisk Assessment June 29, 2026

Technological Surprise and Normalization Through Use: The Tactical and Discursive Effects of New Precision-Strike Weapons in the Russo-Ukrainian War

A new journal article on forecasting the implications of weapons technologies.

Dr. Cameron Tracy

Journal Article Texas National Security Review March 30, 2026

Observing the Unobservable: Wargaming Cyber Deterrence

A study leveraging a new experimental wargame to solve challenges faced by nuclear deterrence analysts.

Prof. Andrew W. Reddie

Journal Article International Interactions March 24, 2026

Berkeley as a Home for Security Research

The case for national security research inside a leading innovation ecosystem.

Leah Walker

Brisk Assessment Brisk Assessment March 19, 2026

Quantification of Hypersonic Missile Capabilities Using the Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Simulator: A User Manual

This is a user guide for the Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Simulator.

Dr. Cameron Tracy, Dr. David Wright, Justin Ly, Anita Ding

User Manual BRSL March 10, 2026

Simulating Hypersonic Glide Vehicles

Making sense of hypersonic performance through open-source modelling.

Dr. Cameron Tracy

Brisk Assessment Brisk Assessment March 10, 2026

The National Interest, Narrowed

Trump’s 2025 National Security Strategy codifies a more limited, transactional vision of U.S. power.

Prof. Andrew W. Reddie

Brisk Assessment Brisk Assessment February 5, 2026

New START’s Expiration and the Need for Continued Nuclear Restraint

On 5 February 2026, the New START Treaty expires, leaving the United States and the Russian Federation without a bilateral nuclear arms control agreement for the first time in decades. This joint statement highlights shared concerns about the implications of that expiration and urges continued restraint and renewed strategic stability dialogue.

Dr. Lindsay Rand

Commentary Deep Cuts Comission February 3, 2026

Wargaming Deception

A new report on using wargaming as a tool to analyze deception in the context of international security.

Prof. Andrew W. Reddie, Hiroyasu Akutsu, Ruby Booth, Rex Brynen, Scott DeJong, Stephen Downes-Martin, Richard Garber, Mark Howard, Alex Karasick

Report PAXSims January 12, 2026

The LLM Mirage: Economic Interests and the Subversion of Weaponization Controls

An analysis of how economic interests may undermine AI weaponization controls and export restrictions.

Dr. Ritwik Gupta, Prof. Andrew W. Reddie

Conference Paper ACM FAccT January 8, 2026