Publications
The latest research and analysis from the Berkeley Risk and Security Lab
Taiwan Can’t Shake Its Nuclear Ghosts
Taiwan’s anti-nuclear political legacy has left it highly dependent on imported fuels and vulnerable to a potential Chinese blockade, forcing a debate over whether to revive a nuclear power program with a complex and fraught history.
Russian Nuclear ASAT Weapons: The Fallout
Reports that Russia is developing a nuclear-tipped anti-satellite weapon raised concerns about potential violation of the 1967 Outer Space Treaty, and promted a debate over whether existing international frameworks are sufficient in managing the growing risks of space militarization.
LAION and the Challenges of Preventing AI-Generated CSAM
The discovery of child sexual abuse material in a major AI training dataset has exposed legal and ethical challenges for law enforcement and policymakers, highlighting the urgent need to update legislation and create new industry standards to combat the creation and spread of harmful, AI-generated content.
Cyber Wargames as Synthetic Data
A look into why war games are an increasingly important tool for generating synthetic data to study the complex issue of cyber conflict and escalation, allowing researchers to analyze how different factors influence decision-making in cyberspace despite a lack of real-world data.
Searching for Global Equilibrium: How new economic statecraft undermines international institutions
Amid the growing threat that “new economic statecraft” poses to global economic stability, this paper evaluates institutional approaches to constrain state-led interventions in trade and investment.
Securing Taiwan’s Satellite Infrastructure Against China’s Reach
China’s cyber and space capabilities continue to pose a significant threat to Taiwan’s infrastructure, making the need for Taiwan to develop its own satellite communication network becomes more dire.
Time to Act: Building the Technical and Institutional Foundations for AI Assurance
Given the risk that autonomous systems could lead to accidental conflict escalation, policymakers must establish international standards for AI assurance and leverage existing institutional models from nuclear and internet governance to ensure the safe development and use of AI in military contexts.
Saving face in cyberspace: responses to public cyber intrusions in the Gulf
An analysis of how states “save face” following cyber intrusions that become public, using the strategies of diminishing, self-complimenting, and accusing.
Accelerating the Evolution of AI Export Controls
Despite implementing semiconductor export controls to maintain a competitive advantage in the global market, the U.S. must now evolve regulations to close loopholes that had unintended consequences.
Proliferate, Don’t Obliterate: How Responsive Launch Marginalizes Anti-Satellite Capabilities
As countries engage in an anti-satellite arms race that threatens to fill space with an impenetrable field of debris, there is broad public opposition to these weapons — but there is some evidence that these weapons will become less impactful over time.
Putting the Biden Administration’s “New Economic Statecraft” in Context
Citing national security concerns, the United States is increasingly using “new economic statecraft,” strategies including export controls, domestic industrial policy, and investment restrictions, to limit China’s access to critical technologies like semiconductors.
Confidence-Building Measures for Artificial Intelligence
In a workshop hosted by BRSL in conjunction with the Geopolitics Team at OpenAI, a multisteakholder group of experts explored how specific confidence-building measures can mitigate international security risks posed by foundation models.