Publications

Context for a broader chapter in the recent Oxford Handbook of Geoeconomics and Economic Statecraft, published with the University of California Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation (IGCC).

For nearly eight decades, the U.S. innovation ecosystem has been underpinned by a deliberately decentralized model of federal research support.

As the global landscape shifts further toward economic statecraft amid escalating strategic competition, especially involving China, Iran, and Venezuela, policymakers must recognize that the power of sanctions lies not merely in their imposition, but in their credible promise of relief upon behavioral change—a promise that, historically, has proven challenging to uphold.

Examination of how multilateral export controls can be used to constrain commercial spyware and address human rights, national security and nonproliferation concerns stemming from the misuse of spyware technologies.

Developments in predicting and understanding phase transformations in MAX phases.

Analysis of U.S. plans to dispose of excess weapons plutonium at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), a geologic repository in southeastern New Mexico.

Policy discussions on AI risk are currently over-focused on vague definitions of “foundation” and “frontier” models, ignoring the critical role of data in determining a model’s capabilities and risks.

Study on the effects of high-energy ball milling and the far-from-equilibrium conditions induced by complex mechanical interactions.

As sanctions become a widely-used tool of state power, their effectiveness — particularly regarding the Russian invasion of Ukraine — has been called into question, prompting a re-evaluation of the theory behind them.

This paper presents an open-source methodology for analyzing military AI models, using the Zhousidun dataset to demonstrate how experts can replicate and evaluate AI capabilities.

An exploration of confidence-building measures for military AI, and how these are complicated by divergent interpretations of risk and the complex roles of worldwide partners.